44% of Americans in the South favored secession, with Republican support at 66%; while Democratic support was 47% in the Pacific states.[50][51][52]. But what they didn't realize was that Trump was surging in rural parts of the state and flipping some swing counties like the ones mentionedabove. Pennsylvania, where the U.S. Constitution was written, was the second state admitted to the Union, officially becoming a state in December 1787. But. The lack of clear classes make these purple maps prone to the problems of color perception described above. That election saw Donald Trump win the state by 0.7%, one of three 'blue wall' states (Michigan & Wisconsin the others) he won on his way to winning the presidential election. Which ones are more politically competitive? How red or blue is your state? Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. This is nice, but you do realize that Maryland has elected Republican governors 3 of the last 5 elections and currently has a Republican sitting in the capital. Taking Biden at face value about Michigan and Wisconsin where, for what it's worth (not that much), the exit poll data looks pretty good for him and he came in with a significant polling lead here's where the map goes: If Biden wins those two, plus Maine, Nevada and Arizona, but nothing else, he's at 269 electoral votes. "There is nothing inherently blue or red about this, by law or by design," Foley said. That year, the crime rate was 3,620.15 crimes per . The county with the most lopsided voter registration margin is Philadelphia, which is 78 percent Democrat, 11 percent Republican and 11 percent other. President-elect Joe Biden flipped five states from red to blue this election Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania and is expected to flip Georgia, where he leads Trump. Update on Election Day in Philadelphia from the DA's office here: "As of 9:00 p.m. on Tuesday, 68 incidents were reported to the Election Task Force and 67 incidents were peacefully resolved. Thirty of Penns 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. A large county or state in area may have fewer voters than a small one in area, for example. Various editorials[43][44] have proposed that states of the U.S. secede and then form federations only with states that have voted for the same political party. The numbers are clear: in 2020, 57.97 percent of Washington voters chose Joe Biden, and only 38.77 percent chose Donald Trump. The state had an additional redistricting before 2018. The state's 20 electoral votes could be pivotal in the 2020 race. From the 2000-2004 election only three states changed Color. After flipping red as a key swing state for President Donald Trump in 2016, former Vice President Joe Biden claimed Wisconsin's electoral votes today in what is being called one of the most important elections of a lifetime.. Wisconsin was a battleground state in the 2020 presidential election, and its 10 electoral votes were highly sought after by both candidates due to Wisconsin's . Report that just went out from the Pennsylvania Election Protection Coalition on issues today in the state: "Among the issues: Several polling places opened late. Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and one district in Maine voted Republican in 2016. While the presidential election in Texas was said to be more competitive this year . The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee also alluded the color scheme when it launched a national "Red to Blue Program" in 2006. Its governor is Democratic, its Senate is both Republican and Democratic, and its House balance is also evenly split between the two parties. Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. One thing to keep in mind as we've seen Biden's polling numbers vanish in states like Florida and North Carolina: His leads were much larger in Michigan and Wisconsin, and a bit larger in Pennsylvania. A lengthy post-Election court battle is the scenario Biden's camp has so fiercely tried to avoid by expanding their map to 17states. This may have been a holdover from the Civil War, during which the predominantly Republican north was considered "blue". Wisconsin is a swing, or purple, state. Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. What determines a state's "color"? - Matter of Fact with Soledad O'Brien Perhaps no one is better at understanding Pennsylvania voters than former Governor Ed Rendell. If youre willing to fight for Main Street America, click here to sign up for my free weekly email. One trend that has been true for several election cycles is that states that vote Republican tend to be more rural and more sparsely populated (thus having fewer electoral votes) than states that vote Democratic. Support local journalism. But Biden didn't get to 40% like the strategist wanted (and which Obama got beyondtwice). Seven months into the coronavirus crisis, the states with the most severe unemployment in the country all seem to have one thing in common: They vote blue. All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. One source claims that in the elections prior to 2000 every state that voted for Democratic candidates but one had been coded red. Pennsylvania has a long history of being consequential in presidential elections choosing 20 of the last 25 . In 2016 and 2020, Missouri again voted strongly Republican, this time for Donald Trump, despite Trump losing the latter election. The colors red and blue are also featured on the United States flag. If the U.S. followed such a pattern, blue would be used for the Republicans and red for the Democrats. Let's continue our tour around the Electoral College. Former Governor Ed Rendell gives his take. Related: List Of US States And Their Capitals In Alphabetical Order With PDF. Similarly, one state south, 56.45 percent of Oregon voters chose Joe Biden in 2020 compared to just 40.37 percent for Donald Trump. 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To take one random anecdote, my dad claimed there was a four-hour line in one polling place in my home county, York (a very conservativearea). Overall, Pennsylvania is a blue state 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. In the days after the 2000 election, the outcome of which was unknown for some time after election day, major media outlets began conforming to the same color scheme because the electoral map was continually in view, and conformity made for easy and instant viewer comprehension. The Hill . I think it's the state to watch. Anita What do you want to know? But the cultural wounds cut the deepest, and are the most likely to drive working-class people to look at the coastal elites and say: "That. [1] Examining patterns within states reveals that the reversal of the two parties' geographic bases has happened at the state level, but it is more complicated locally, with urban-rural divides associated with many of the largest changes.[2]. Holly If Biden loses Fla, North Carolina and Georgia, his so-called greater Midwest certainly includes winning Pennsylvania. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. Each tend to show some patterns well while obscuring others. I think most of these states that we have either red or blue are going to be up for grabs. 7%78%Median of all states 28%// State data highlighted23%Pennsylvania Median income Pennsylvania's median household. Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state, although it voted Democratic in the six elections prior to 2016. The vast majority of reported incidents involved concerns about unlawful electioneering or interference at polling sites. Clinton:36,322 (35.80%). We and our partners use data for Personalised ads and content, ad and content measurement, audience insights and product development. During the 2016 presidential election, two districts (the first and second) gave Clinton over 80% and 90% of the vote. Live results and analysis from the Jan. 5 Senaterunoffs, White House Correspondent & Associate Editor. Although many red states and blue states stay in the same category for long periods, they may also switch from blue to red or from red to blue over time. The use of the term Blue or Red has been expanded to differentiate between states being perceived as Liberal and those perceived as Conservative. Starting with the 2000 United States presidential election, the terms "red state" and "blue state" have referred to U.S. states whose voters vote predominantly for one party the Republican Party in red states and the Democratic Party in blue states in presidential and other statewide elections. However, the combination of higher vote margins than Clinton in Tucson (Pima County) and Maricopa's flip from red to blue meant Biden still prevailed inthe state. [19] Some Republicans argue the GOP should retain its historic association with blue, since most center-right parties worldwide are associated with blue. V4 Stands Against North African and Middle Eastern Invasion, Robo-Advisors: When You Have a Lot More to Lose than Money, FARM AMERICA: New York Citys Finest Cheesemongers, The Fed Independent and Non Political Joins The Resistance, Tucker Carlson Interviews My Favorite Florida Farmer. FiveThirtyEight's forecast currently expects these states to step slightly to the left in 2020, but there's a lot of uncertainty here, especially in a state like Maine where the error bars. Charlie We haven't heard yet from Allegheny County, which is also a top source of Democratic votes. The "blue wall" went blue once again Democratic. [3][4] However, the perception of some states as "blue" and some as "red" was reinforced by a degree of partisan stability from election to election from the 2000 election to the 2004 election, only three states changed "color"; and as of 2020, 35 out of 50 states have voted for the same party in every presidential election since the red-blue terminology was popularized in 2000, with only 15 having swung between the 2000 and 2020 election. Polarization is more evident on a county scale with the growing percentage of the U.S. electorate living in "landslide counties", counties where the popular vote margin between the Democratic and Republican candidate is 20 percentage points or greater. Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state. In the three presidential elections since 2008, Indiana and North Carolina went back to supporting Republicans. For example, due to the simultaneous contrast effect, the Bezold effect, and other factors, an area shaded light red surrounded by areas shaded dark red will appear even lighter. [25] All these facts should be taken into account when looking at election maps. But Pennsylvania is now red. By Allan James Vestal, Andrew Briz, Annette Choi, Beatrice Jin, Andrew McGill and Lily Mihalik. Stay tuned on Nov. 3 for live analysis from our reporters. [30] It attempts to represent the margin of victory in each county by coloring each with a shade between true blue and true red. In April 2008, Republican presidential nominee John McCain predicted that the presidential election that November would not follow the red-state-blue-state pattern, saying, "I'm not sure that the old red state, blue state scenario that prevailed for the last several elections works. Popular vote data are necessarily aggregated at several levels, such as counties and states, which are then colored to show election results. Joe Biden won back Pennsylvania for Democrats in the 2020 election after President Donald Trump carried the state in 2016. The exceptions were New Mexico (Al Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004), Iowa (Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004), and New Hampshire (Bush in 2000 and Kerry in 2004). Trump:61,386 (60.51%) PTFCA Indoor State Championship by Don & Gayle Rich Feb 26, 2023 WATCH: Eighth Grader Sophia Rodriguez runs 9:43 3K Mar 3, 2023 Drew Griffith runs the third-fastest Mile in PA History Mar 1, 2023 I'm totally zeroed in on Pennsylvania tonight. Same Since 2000: After 2020 Election As of 2020, fully 35 out of 50 states in the U.S. have voted for the same party in every presidential election since the red-blue terminology was popularized in 2000. Heres why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. The source defines a mass shooting as a shooting where three or more people. Note that election maps of all kinds are subject to errors of interpretation. The Bay State added more than 480,000 people last decade for a total population of 7,029,917 in 2020. So will that number end up being less than 100,000, ornot? ABC used yellow for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1976, then red for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1980, 1984, and 1988. We coach Little League in the blue states and have gay friends in the red states. If . However, the current U.S. scheme has become so ingrained in the American election system that foreign sources who cover U.S. elections, such as the BBC, Der Spiegel and El Mundo follow with the red-Republican, blue-Democratic scheme for U.S. [39] In 2008, 48 percent of U.S. voters lived in such counties, which increased further to 50 percent in 2012 and to 61 percent in 2016. Thirty of Penn's 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. The state is widely considered blue-leaning, a trend which moves parallel with the growth of the Washington D.C. and Richmond suburbs. If we just win one state between North Carolina and Georgia, then we could lose Michigan and Florida and still get over 270 electoralvotes.. Be the first to know breaking news, delivered only when a big story is developing. That made a difference in a state that was ultimately decided by roughly 45,000votes. The blue states scored better two ways higher overall average rankings vs. red states (No. But, in the coming days, Pennsylvania underwent what has come to be known as a "blue shift." Democrats had requested more mail-in ballots than Republicans had by a margin of two to one. We identify swing states as. In 2020, the state with the highest crime rate in the United States per 100,000 inhabitants was New Mexico. Polls close in 15 minutes inPennsylvania. Traditional political mapmakers, at least throughout the 20th century, had used blue to represent the modern-day Republicans, as well as the earlier Federalist Party. It is not a red state. polls closed in Calif., Idaho, Ore., Wash. polls closed in Ariz., Colo., Kan., La., Mich., Minn., Neb., N.M., N.Y., N.D., S.D., Texas, Wis., Wyo. It is 62 percent Republican, 25 percent Democrat and 13 percent other. Not one! Virginia has continued voting for the Democratic presidential nominees (as well as increasingly electing Democrats at the state level), leading to its being reclassified as a blue state in recent years. Success! Below, we've broken out how 16 battleground states voted since 2000 and what the ever-changing Electoral College map could mean going forward. Again competitive in 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%.While still an important prize, with 19 electoral votes, Pennsylvania, like many industrial northern states, has seen population migrate away in recent decades. polls closed in Ala., Conn., Del., D.C., Fla., Ill., Maine, Md., Mass., Miss., Mo., N.H., N.J., Okla., Pa., R.I., Tenn. polls closed in Ga., Ind., Ky., S.C., Vt., Va. Presidential results by pre-election forecasted chances, Georgia Senate elections live updates: Jon Ossoff projected to win Ga. Senate seat, ABC News projects Ossoff victory over Perdue, Raffensperger escorted out of state Capitol building, says deputy secretary of state, Here are Georgia's election certification deadlines, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. That's changed in recent years as political polarization has increased, resulting in red and blue strongholds with bigger victory margins. What are red and blue states? He served as governor from 2003 to 2011 and was also the mayor of Philadelphia. The Pennsylvania Senate, on the other hand, has been under consistent Republican control for decades. Similarly, Tennessee was won by Bush in both 2000 and 2004, but going into 2004, its governor was a Democrat and both chambers of the state legislature were controlled by Democrats as well. (PA, GA, MI)". ", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Red_states_and_blue_states&oldid=1142683256, This page was last edited on 3 March 2023, at 20:42. We are one people, all of us pledging allegiance to the Stars and Stripes, all of us defending the United States of America."[26]. )Voters spoiled mail-in ballots at high rates, and some poll workers were confused about how to process those ballots. You have to beware with these reports, though. You have entered an incorrect email address! [59][60][61], "Red state" and "Blue state" redirect here. Mail ballot processing starts on Election Day. These editorials note the increasingly polarized political strife in the U.S. between Republican voters and Democratic voters. Biden won Maricopa with just over 50% of the vote, a large increase compared with Clinton's 45% in 2016. Here are the 10 states with the largest Democratic advantage: Wyoming - R+26 West Virginia - R+23 North Dakota - R+20 Oklahoma - R+20 These states often had more regulations and higher taxes. The following list is tabled from the last Presidential Election 2020. Two counties flipped from red to blue: Erie, in Pennsylvania's northwestern corner, and Northampton, in eastern Pennsylvania. However, as inGeorgia, the majority of Biden's gains came from larger vote margins in counties that also voted Democratic in 2016. Map of election results. They propose partition of the U.S. as a way of allowing both groups to achieve their policy goals while reducing the chances of civil war. We worship an awesome God in the blue states, and we don't like federal agents poking around our libraries in the red states. As such, a constitutional Republic form of government as the U.S. is (remember, America is not a democracy), could certainly be expected to vote for President Trump by an even wider gap in 2020. If Jimmy Carter, the Democratic candidate that year, won a state, it was lit in red whereas if Gerald Ford, the incumbent Republican president, won a state, it was lit in blue. Nebraska's 2nd district flipped back into the Republican column in 2012 and 2016, but supported Democrat Joe Biden in 2020. The map was placed in the network's election-night news studio. The only deviations from the preexisting red-blue paradigm were all in Obama's favor. Here's the count: 2020: Hi everyone from D.C.! Then again, Sen. Bob Casey told me he thought the race could potentially be called in Pennsylvania tonight. Democrats' new logo: Change you can sell? But Biden won the most votes in the most populous county, also called Jefferson. President-elect Joe Biden flipped five states from red to blue this election Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania and is expected to flip Georgia, where he leads Trump. Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information. Richard C. Young is the editor of Young's World Money Forecast, and a contributing editor to both Richardcyoung.com and Youngresearch.com. As of February 2023, California had the most mass shootings in the United States, with 25 total shootings since 1982. Update: Philadelphia officials tell me they will report more mail-in ballot results betweenmidnight and 1 a.m. That march then met Hillary Clinton's 'blue wall' states which, at one time, included Pennsylvania. Includes 2016 Races for President, Senate, House, Governor and Key Ballot Measures. [53] White, middle-aged, Christian, married males made up McCain's largest constituency. While the blue states represented a comparatively small geographic area, they contained large populations, which made President Bush's national endorsement less than the redblue map would seem to indicate. States losing seats included Illinois, Michigan,. I don't know where to begin! The state now has just half the 38 electoral votes it had a century ago. Georgia: Red, blue or purple? Eight of the states hardest hit by the coronavirusNew Jersey, Rhode Island, Massachusetts. Biden won by larger margins than Clinton in every county that voted for her except for Philadelphia, where he won by about 4,000 fewer votes than Democrats had in 2016. In recent elections, there have been a dozen or more truly competitive battlegrounds which could result in many various paths to 270 electoral votes. This is still a substantial difference from the period 1960 to 1980 when every state, save for Arizona, voted for each party at least once. Biden's margin of victory was under 1% in Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin, and it was under 1.2% in Pennsylvania. In the 2000 election, Bush received a smaller share of the popular vote than Al Gore, and four years later defeated John Kerry by this count by less than two and a half percentage points. Biden ended up securing a broad Electoral College victory, but only thanks to relatively small margins of victory in key swing states. However, there are pros and cons to both classified and unclassified choropleth maps. Twenty red states are expected to go for President Donald Trump, and 23 blue states (including DC) are expected to go for former Vice President Joe Biden. On Election Day, polls are open from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. It further claims that from 1976 to 2004, in an attempt to avoid favoritism in color-coding, the broadcast networks standardized the convention of alternating every four years between blue and red the color used for the incumbent president's party. There are three classes of Senators; one is up for election every second year. But in western Pennsylvania, as well as the northeast, it's more popular and has led to a boom in some areas that have been struggling economically for a long time. Voters head to the polls on Nov. 3 in Pennsylvania, a critical battleground state that boasts 20 electoral votes. The crowd cheers as U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a 'Make America Great Again' campaign rally at Williamsport Regional . And when election results flowed in Tuesday night, Nov. 2, Studio 8-H at 30 Rockefeller Center lit up. [37][38] In 2020, 58 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties. In his address before the 2004 Democratic National Convention in Boston, Barack Obama spoke on the issue of blue states and red states, saying: "The pundits like to slice-and-dice our country into red states and blue states red states for Republicans, and blue states for Democrats. Special elections, if any, are excluded. MIT Election Data and Science Lab / Harvard Dataverse, Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. All Rights Reserved. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? States that voted against Mr. Trump in 2016 have seen 103,918 deaths, according to the latest New York Times tally on Thursday afternoon, compared with 91,525 in states that supported him. Neither party national committee has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. Holly Ready to hear what you have to say on Pennsylvania! 2020 Electoral Map Results. These maps provide a more detailed picture but themselves have various problems associated with classification of data. It is not a red state. But in 2016, although Hillary Clinton won Latino voters by roughly 30 points, turnout was remarkably . More married men voted for McCain, but more single men voted for Obama. In recent years the state government has moved from purple with a democratic governor and a republican legislature with a modest majority, to fire engine red. I'm watching to see what happens in Pennsylvania, Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin and the Upper Midwest states which seems to be the most crucial for a potential Trump victory given the recent polling and his path to winning in 2016.I'm also watching to see what emerges as the chief issue for voters: the economy (which historically has favored Trump), or his administration's handling of Covid (where he has been far weaker in the polls). The presidential primary contests are usually decided before Pennsylvania holds its primary, which is on Tuesday, April 26, this year. Trump, meanwhile, is trying to run up the score in those pro-fracking areas that already likehim. [11] As late as the 1990s, Democrats were often represented by red and Republicans by blue. In the 2020 United States presidential election, Democratic nominee Joe Biden defeated President Trump by reclaiming Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania for his party. The Tennessee Department of Health reports that 1,451 people died of drug overdose within the state in 2015. Election results provided by the Associated Press. Many argue that assigning partisanship to states is only really useful as it pertains to the Electoral College, as well as (more recently) the Senate, primarily a winner-take-all system of elections (with the exceptions of Nebraska and Maine). Trump's lone breakthrough in the "blue wall" in 2020 was the one electoral vote from Maine, which he again won. Here's why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. If you're curious how long the streak is for each state, visit our 'Same Since' Electoral Map Timeline. Winner did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote [21][22] Another problem relates to data classification. ", For example, Holly, one example from Jen OMalley Dillon, Bidens campaign manager, that implied they were still counting on Pa could be seen in this quote. Purple states are also often referred to as "battleground" states. Well, Arizona is still counting and theres enough coming in to turn the state. The following list is tabled from the last Presidential Election 2020. The demographic and political applications of the terms have resulted in a temptation to presume this arbitrary classification is a definite and fundamental cultural division. [18], Thus, red and blue became fixed in the media and in many people's minds, despite the fact that the Democratic and Republican parties had not officially chosen colors. Electoral law in Maine and Nebraska makes it possible for those states to divide their electoral votes: winner-take-all both by congressional district and statewide. Cash, Money, Green: How Will You Feel in Retirement? Massachusetts is a blue state with a red governor making red states look worse on mortality. By opting into newsletters you are agreeing to our. Like around the country, we're seeing. How much does fracking register as an issue across the state in southeastern PA, in Philly and itssuburbs?
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