And to help you out, we ranked all 32 teams ahead of this season by the value on the odds they'll win the Super Bowl.. 10 wins in a 14-game season, and this was easily the least impressive of Tom Landry's Dallas Cowboys to reach the Super Bowl. 14. One playoff win and taking the Kansas City Chiefs to the brink last season opened opportunities for the Browns, who possess one of the most talented rosters in the conference. Maybe the most controversial one on the list. Detroit Lions +12500 (bet $10 to win $1260 total), There is a universe in which the Lions ride an inspired Jared Goff and underrated defensive talent to seven or eight wins., But the schedule is brutal six road games against playoff teams from 2020! A 133 record, and a top 5 offense and defense, this was the derailing of a potential dynasty. Andy Reids never-ending two-minute drill robbed us of what could have been an exciting ending. There's enough depth to get by. ET (Rams, Seahawks, Chargers). 28. This contest was more important than nearly any other as it asserted the AFL's legitimacy as a league and proved it could contend with the NFL year in and year out. Joe Namath may have guaranteed a Super Bowl III win over the Baltimore Colts, but he didn't say anything about being the best team of all time. The Jaguars are going to be better than the 1-15 team that played last year, and could actually contend for eight or nine wins if the defense becomes a top 20 unit (ranked 31st in points and yards allowed in 2020). Baltimore has a unique spot on this list because its inclusion is not based on mediocre talent (it had players like Bubba Smith and Johnny Unitas) or that it struggled to win games (the Colts went 11-2-1). This was the first of the Cowboys three Super Bowl wins in the 90s. section: | slug: ranking-12-teams-that-never-won-a-super-bowl-by-best-chance-to-win-title-in-2021-high-hopes-in-buffalo | sport: football | route: article_single.us | ", From the huge offseason losses on the offensive line, to questions about the secondary, to the difficult division there isnt an ounce of value in the Raiders to win a ring., 26. Allen set the Bills' franchise record for passing yards in a season (4,544) and passing touchdowns (37), finishing with a 107.2 passer rating. They faced perfection, so how can you be harsh when talking about them? When thinking about the 1990 season, it is hard to conjure up images of anything other than Buffalo Bills kicker Scott Norwood missing a potential Super Bowl-winning kick. Despite the strength of the division, the 49ers play one of the easiest strength of schedules in the league (SOS rank: 29th). TEAM DATE ROUND TM OPP RESULT W TD 1DWN OFF OPP OFF 3DWN% 4DWN% Los Angeles Rams: 2/13/2022: Super Bowl: LAR @ CIN. Id say so, yes.. Complete team-by-team FPI projections Los Angeles Chargers +3300 (bet $10 to win $340 total), The world loves the Chargers after Justin Herberts incredible rookie year (record-setting 31 TDs). Ah, the iconic image of Trent Dilfer hoisting his arms in victory. This was actually the closest one they played. Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, Team-by-team strength-of-schedule rankings, Projecting the NFL's best and worst pass-protecting offensive lines: 1-32 ranking, Ranking all 32 NFL teams based on how much better (or worse) they got this offseason, NFL Future Power Rankings: Projections for all 32 teams for the next three seasons, Watson sexually assaulted them or engaged in sexually inappropriate behavior, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Green, but for a young team with a young coach, locker room leadership was needed last year down the stretch when they lost five of seven and missed the playoffs.. This Super Bowl had it all: An underdog story (Nick Foles), a memorable play (Philly Special), a controversial coaching decision (Belichick benching Malcolm Butler), a ton of points (a record 74 points combined!) Even without Wentz, the forecast for that stretch is better than one might guess; on average, the Colts win 2.2 of those games, and the chances that they start 0-5 is just over 1 in 20. At 133, this defense was nasty by forcing 31 turnovers. This is one of the worst rosters in the league, but Houston (at least) has a chance to win games if Watson plays. A really strong offense, but their defense hurt their overall grade since there were less teams in the league. Out of 35 qualified quarterbacks last season, Darnold finished 33rd in completion percentage, 30th in interception percentage, 32nd in yards per attempt, and 35th in passer rating. 3 overall pick Trey Lance entering the season. The AFC North features two major Super Bowl threats in Baltimore and Cleveland. QB | RB | WR | TE This is how good the NFC West is: There's a 37% chance that three of the four teams reach the playoffs, and there's even a 3% chance that all four get in. Some may argue this should be higher than third, but, before Scott Norwoods infamous miss, the Giants and Bills did not give us a very exciting game. I did not mean to rhyme there. This might be controversial among Bills fans, but this team was just as good as the year before. With a 131 record, this Oakland Raiders team would be higher, but not as good as some of the other late '60s losing teams. Buffalo Bills +1200 (bet $10 to win $130 total), They went 15-2 against teams not named the Kansas City Chiefs last year, but via Warren Sharp, heres an incredible stat: The Bills had the good fortune of facing three West Coast teams last season at 1 p.m. Check out the full strength of schedule rankings here. Is this a bad thing?No, but it does not exactly make for one of the most dominant championship teams of all time. There's talent on the Falcons, but they are such an unknown heading into 2021. Buffalo is on the doorstep of reaching the league championship game, thanks to the emergence of Josh Allen as one of the game's best quarterbacks. 29 and 30. Los Angeles could put itself in position to contend for a playoff spot. Chicago Bears +5000 (bet $10 to win $510 total). Terrell Davis three-touchdown game won him MVP honors. WebThe Los Angeles Rams won in Super Bowl LVI versus the Bengals on February 13, 2022. worst team defense to win a super bowl The Los Angeles Rams won in Super Bowl LVI FPI believes there is an 8% chance that the Chiefs face the Bucs again, more than any other potential matchup. It was not only totally unexpected but it was made possible by a play-call that will be debated for years to come. There are no arguments to be made: This is the greatest Super Bowl of all-time. 29. The 10 Worst NFL Teams to Ever Win a Super Bowl - Sportscasting Buffalo also went 6-1 in one-score games, including the playoff win over the Colts. 1 in just about every projection you can imagine, including projected wins (11.5) and chances to reach the playoffs (89%), win their division (72%), be the No. The Vikings have made the playoffs every odd-year season since coach Mike Zimmer took over in 2014, which bodes well for them in 2021. Im all aboard the Trevor Lawrence bandwagon., 8. San Francisco finished the regular season at just 10-6, and the leading receiver was none other than Roger Craig. If they had finished better than 124, this team would have been a top 5 Super Bowl runner-up. A better offensive line will help Cousins out immensely, especially with playmakers like Dalvin Cook, Justin Jefferson, Adam Thielenand Irv Smith. Tennessee's offense is going to have to do most of the work in order to repeat at AFC South champions. A step up from the traditional method is to look at the mean win total for every team's opponents, but this too has an issue; for instance, every Chiefs opponent's win total is depressed because it has to play the Chiefs (division opponents doubly so! A full explanation for how FPI works can be found here, but here's the abridged version: The model determines forward-looking strength ratings for every team based on a variety of factors, including team win total, projected starting quarterback, returning starters and past performance on offense, defense and special teams. The market is super high on Buffalo theyre only underdogs in two games, vs Tampa and KC but there likely will be some form of regression. That decision is based on two factors: Garoppolo is generally believed to be the favorite over rookie No. There are quite a few contenders to win their first Super Bowl in 2021, and the two favorites reside in the loaded AFC. Yes, the Chiefs -- not the Super Bowl-champion Buccaneers -- are projected to be the best team and also have the best chances to hoist the Lombardi trophy next February. The Bears defensive dominance made a 36-point laugher worth watching. And in these two cases, both quarterbacks will have below-average pass protection in front of them, and both will be trying to compensate for their teams' defenses, which both rank in FPI's bottom six. They're returning the 2020 MVP and had the league's most efficient offense last year -- yes, even better than Kansas City's. Dick Vermeil's boys just missed out on the Lombardi Trophy with one bad day. Nobody has a tougher September schedule: vs Seattle, vs the Rams, at Tennessee, at Miami, at Baltimore. The "Greatest Show On Turf" was the potential dynasty derailed by New England Patriots. Denver Broncos +5500 (bet $10 to win $560 total), Yes, this is irrationally high. The Minnesota Vikings, Buffalo Bills and Denver Broncos have been involved in some of the worst Super Bowls, but so have the Los Angeles Rams and Dallas Cowboys. Colin Kaepernick came in on a hot streak, but unfortunately, this team's attrition failed them as the team consisted of older players. Oh yeah, Marino's offense averaged 32.1 points per game, too. Again, FPI doesn't think the division is much-improved. FPI is able to reconcile that issue to determine a more accurate SOS. That tops the 2020 Jaguars, who entered last season at 23% and ended up earning that No. Green Bay Packers +1300 (bet $10 to win $140 total), The Packers are tied for the second-best odds to win the NFC, but their arduous schedule includes a league-high 10 games against teams that made the playoffs last year. It truly is a remarkable tale, but the Patriots were nothing special on the way there. The 1970s Steelers gave us one last entertaining Super Bowl before its dynasty ended. If Baker Mayfield improves from last season's campaign, the Browns will contend for a Super Bowl in 2021. 27. The Ravens and Browns rank fourth and sixth in FPI rating -- basically true talent level -- but are fifth and seventh in chances to reach the playoffs and win the Super Bowl, respectively. It also gave us the first and only Super Bowl blackout. WebJim Caldwell is may be the worst coach to ever make it to the Super Bowl, but he didn't win. Not every team epitomizes greatness and dominance when it is victorious in the Super Bowl. 17. Putting that unbelievable anecdote aside, the 49ers stumbled into the Super Bowl against the Cincinnati Bengals, and Montana did what Montana seemingly always did. The one Peyton let get away. 113 career TDs compared to 129 interceptions says that he doesn't deserve that victory. A 4.47 shuttle is extremely rare. New head coach Arthur Smith has some work to do this summer. They went 3-0.. 15. Ryan Tannehill has been a top five quarterback over the last two seasons and it hasn't been talked about enough. 3. Ron Jaworski, Harold Carmichael, and Wilbert Montgomery all had a part in this offense. Here they are ranked: It was a lot of fun to research these teams to remember just how good they were their respective seasons. Ken Anderson led his team to 124. Theres a reason teams from the NFC North are so low here, and its the schedule. (Hey, at least it worked out for them with Trevor Lawrence being available.). Atlanta is going to miss Jones' big-play ability -- and has a defense set to give up big plays of its own. You won't believe how good some of these teams were. The 2005 Steelers are a prime example. Denver got out to a 10-0 lead before Washington dropped a Super Bowl-record 35 points in the second quarter on the Broncos defense. What Allen accomplished in 2020 was MVP-caliber, even if he didn't take home the league's highest individual honor. Just as importantly, no team lost more games to injury last year than the 49ers, And thats at every position. New Orleans Saints +3000 (bet $10 to win $310 total), The most puzzling number on the board, as Im much lower on the Saints than this.. The defense ranked just 24th in the league that year, and a questionable call known as the "Tuck Rule" against the Oakland Raiders in the divisional round helped the Patriots reach the Super Bowl when many believed they did not belong. 11 in the league, per FPI) isn't a problem with that kind of strength on the other side of the ball. They were also had to win all their road playoff games, which during the time, was unheard of. The Titans defense added Bud Dupree and Caleb Farley, but it may not be enough to make the the 24th-ranked unit (in points allowed) Super Bowl-caliber. The game that confirmed Joe Flacco was elite. ), or the second-half Seahawks (only topped 30 points once in the final seven games, and it was vs the hapless Jets)?, Seattle has lost three of its past four playoff games and not made the NFC title game since 2014., 11. Their strategy to run it back with nearly the same squad looks (on paper) like it could pay off; the Bucs have an 85% chance to reach the playoffs and a 15% shot to repeat as champions, according to FPI. But even with all that, its not even the best Super Bowl of the last two years. But a lot of credit needs to be given to running backs Ickey Woods and James Brooks, who both combined for 1,997 yards and 29 touchdowns. Plenty of fans were made because the 1998 Minnesota Vikings are the best team of all time to never make a Super Bowl. He also has the most game-winning drives and tied for the most fourth-quarter comebacks in that span. By Jason McIntyreFOX Sports Betting Analyst. Kind of pains me to say it, but it was the 2011 Giants. They shipped 400 points that year in the regular season and normally that leads to a losing 1 pick in the 2022 NFL draft, with a 15% chance, followed by the Jets (10%), Jaguars (8%) and Eagles (7%). Buffalo has a top 10 pass defense led by one of the game's best cornerbacks in Tre'Davious White and Pro Bowl snub Jordan Poyer, but the run defense has to improve to beat a team like Kansas City. If Lance does beat out Garoppolo, that would be a sign he is comparable to the veteran, and thus a downgrade might not make sense. A 14-win team with a top 10 offense and defense. The model gains confidence because of all of the returning starters from an already good unit. One yard away from not even being on this list, the 133 Titans were solid. The game itself may not be memorable but Marcus Allens 191-yard performance, which included the greatest run in Super Bowl history, pushes it into the top-30. Carolina Panthers +7000 (bet $10 to win $710 total), The Panthers were a fantastic 8-4 against the spread as an underdog last year, and theyre going to be underdogs frequently again this year. Los Angeles is going to score points this year. Well, they play in a division that produced three playoff teams last year. Kansas City's middling defense (No. Drafting Ja'Marr Chase over Penei Sewell was a questionable move, especially since Cincinnati's atrocious offensive line led to franchise quarterback Joe Burrow tearing his ACL in his rookie season. Detroit has a young and talented offensive line (average age 24 years old) to protect new quarterback Jared Goffwho is looking to resurrect his career after getting traded by the Los Angeles Rams. Baltimore is well balanced, with a projected offense and defense (and special teams!) 25. Peyton Manning dragged him and the rest of the team there. I'd argue their offense was a little more productive, but that being said, the 1990 team still beat them out. Cleveland already has one of the game's best pass rushers in Myles Garrett and cornerbacks in Denzel Ward. This Bills team should have won a Super Bowl and it is hard to believe looking back. Green and Rondale Moore at wide receiver. Christian McCaffrey's return makes the Panthers formidable, as the front office restructured the offensive line. But the outputs are all the same: We're still talking football -- and about the chances of each team's success -- which now includes 17 regular-season games and an expanded playoff field. He's a key piece in guiding Tennessee to its first championship. Losing three offensive linemen is gonna sting. So much needs to go right for the Broncos to get into the playoffs, much less the Super Bowl. Teams that barely squeak into the playoffs with a wild-card berth have become frequent commodities on this list, so it only feels appropriate to include the first wild-card team to ever win the Super Bowl. Then Jim was thoroughly outcoached at every point by Sean Payton. We hold major institutions accountable and expose wrongdoing. For starters, the NFC has nine road games this season, so a team from that conference was always likely to occupy the top spot. Cincinnati Bengals +10000 (bet $10 to win $1010 total), The Bengals will be improved, but theyre not higher on this list for three reasons:. Adding Marvin Jones to a young receiving unit that already includes Laviska Shenault Jr. and D.J. San Francisco's three games based on last year's standings are against the Eagles, Bengals and Falcons, who all rank 24th or worse in FPI. This game mightve been higher on the list if the Jets hadnt pulled off the AFL-NFL upset the prior season. ", Remember, this is about *value* in Super Bowl odds. The Panthers and Patriots gave us the most exciting fourth quarter in Super Bowl history, combining for five scores, including an 85-yard pass by Jake Delhomme, which remains a Super Bowl record, and Adam Vinatieris game-winning kick as time expired. and quarterback rating (112.4). 2023 NFL Draft odds: Will Georgia's Stetson Bennett get selected? Atlanta Falcons +6000 (bet $10 to win $610 total), New coach, new offensive coordinator just too much newness for me., That being said, going 2-8 in one-score games last year was a killer, and if the ball bounces differently in 2021, maybe theyre hovering around .500. The defense wasn't that much better either, finishing 27th in points allowed, 30th in yards allowed, and recorded the fewest turnovers in the league. And we dont even know who their QB is (probably Teddy Bridgewater over Drew Lock).. The Dolphins capped off the only perfect season ever, despite Garo Yepremian give us an all-time blooper. Super Bowl VIII: Terry Bradshaw and Franco Harris took over the game from there. The wild card is first-time head coach Brandon Staley, who probably is an upgrade over Anthony Lynn but hes only been in the NFL since 2017, so how could anyone say for sure? But the rest of the roster is important, too. To show you how wildly that fluctuates, in those categories the year before, Miami ranked 29th, 24th, and 27th.. Before arriving at FOX, he created the website The Big Lead, which he sold in 2010. Houston would be much higher on this list if Deshaun Watson's future with the team wasn't uncertain. The eventual champion Colts committed seven, count them, seven turnovers. The Bills ended up with the most wins in a season (13) since 1991. ONCE. They play in an easy division and should be able to host a playoff game. Sam Darnold cannot go from worst QB in the NFL (by some metrics) to winning the Super Bowl in twelve months. A special season in Tennessee could be in store. ), and every Texans opponent's win total is inflated for the same reason. 19. Quick, use one word to describe Super Bowl XL in Detroit. The Dolphins won their second consecutive Super Bowl in a game that was over well before the fourth quarter. Again, this is all dependent on how Darnold plays. Watch more top videos, highlights, and B/R original content, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Division favorites, win totals and the NFL's best (and worst) teams: Takeaways from the 2021 projections, The future of the NFL combine: Is there really a chance it could end forever? Cleveland has the game's top running back tandem in Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt, a duo head coach Kevin Stefanski utilizes heavily in the offense. The Cardinals added more playmakers to surround Murray this offseason with A.J. Dallas Cowboys +2500 (bet $10 to win $260 total), Realistically, Dallas is in the second tier of teams that could win the Super Bowl.. Here is a quarterback guru who never could quite develop a quarterback as a head coach. He saved the team from the clutches of defeat and led a game-winning fourth-quarter drive. 3) Only one of their final seven opponents has a season win total under 8.5. The 1991 Redskins might be the greatest team in NFL history, which bumps this game up a few spots. Tennessee Titans +2800 (bet $10 to win $290 total), Probably the favorites in the division given the Colts' injuries, but Im leery of taking the bait. Finishing 133 and a high-energy offense by Sean McVay, the Rams were a force to be reckoned with. New York's passing attack was somewhere between awful and mediocre. That's ridiculous. 55) Super Bowl XLVIII (2013) The 2013 Seahawks were able to take advantage of this game to solidify themselves as an all-time NFL defense. The game wasnt nearly as close as the score indicates, though. Over the past three years, Cousins is seventh in passer rating (103.6), second in completion percentage (69.03), fifth in passing touchdowns (91), and 10th in yards per attempt (7.77). The Titans thrust themselves into Super Bowl contention with the offseason addition of Julio Jones, a massive upgrade over departed free agent Corey Davis. Sixth-round draft pickTom Brady took over for the injured Drew Bledsoe at quarterback and led the Patriots all the way to the Super Bowl title. This 97 Cardinals team scored 78. Head coach Bill Cowher would get Super Bowl redemption the next decade, but this 115 team was pretty great all around. Pittsburgh was just 7-5 through 12 games. They are part of the legacy of the biggest game in sports, and they had fought hard an entire winning season. They have a new head coach, new offensive coordinator, new defensive coordinator, and rookie QB.. Please check your email for a confirmation. The worst of the Bills Super Bowl teams at 115, but Jim Kelly and Thurman Thomas still elevated them offensively. 1) How is coach Zac Taylor going to go from 6-25-1 to the Super Bowl? The Bengals should be better, but they aren't close to competing for a championship yet -- especially residing in the AFC North. The Jaguars are still going to be exciting to watch in 2021 as Urban Meyer is the best college coach to enter the NFL in years, having arguably the most talented quarterback prospect since Andrew Luck in Trevor Lawrence. 9. With the best defense in the game, this 124 Steelers team could not stop a hot road team in the Green Bay Packers and Aaron Rodgers. IMPORTANT NOTE: I used my own mathematical point system involving team records, offensive production, and defensive production to determine the order. New England Patriots +3300 (bet $10 to win $340 total), If Bill Belichick can figure out his QB, the Patriots are going to be extremely dangerous. Sure, but it did not make for an entertaining game up until the end. That being said, wait until they lose the opener to Tampa, and then get them at possibly better odds. It is not that these teams were not deserving of a Super Bowl, but rather that they do not stack up when compared to the greatest units the NFL has ever seen. They had a four-game losing streak, two in overtime, they were actually really good on both offense and defense. Obsessed with travel? This was the year that Joe Montana and Steve Young alternated starts at quarterback until eventually Montana firmly took the reins down the stretch. Tannehill is second in the league in passer rating (110.6), second in touchdown percentage (7.2) and first in yards per attempt (8.55). It did earn him a bunch of money. https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/01/2019-super-bowl-rankings-best-to-worst, a fascinating chess match between the Falcons and Patriots coaching staffs, Anthony Richardson showed off his freakish athleticism by breaking 2 NFL Combine records, Joey Porter Jr. shared a wholesome moment with dad Joey Porter at 2023 NFL Combine, Will Levis finally shared the origin story for his mayo coffee, How to watch the NFL Combine, live stream, TV channel, Quarterbacks, Receivers, Tight Ends, Bryce Young's measurements at the NFL Combine are almost identical to Kyler Murray's, C.J. As far as the division title is concerned, Baltimore is a narrow favorite over the Browns: 43% to 40%. FPI, which launched Monday, is a forward-looking projection model that includes ratings and projections for every team, from projected win-loss records to percentages to win each division. Although the Rams are FPI's top team of the bunch, San Francisco is actually the favorite here. Tom Brady led the offense with Randy Moss and Wes Welker to score 36.8 points per game. The defense got a huge boost with the signing of Haason Reddick and top 10 pick Jaycee Horn, but Carolina still has to deal with Tampa Bay and New Orleans in the NFC South. Minnesota Vikings +4500 (bet $10 to win $460 total), I want to like Minnesota as a buy-low team after rebuilding its defense.. The Chargers got the last of the three talented quarterbacks from the 2020 draft class, and possibly the best in Justin Herbert -- the reigning NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. Philadelphia Eagles +7500 (bet $10 to win $760 total), The biggest preseason long shot to win the Super Bowl was the 1999 St. Louis Rams behind unknown QB Kurt Warner; the Rams were 300-1. Top 5 in both points for and against, the Vikings 10-win record kept them from being higher on this list. This year, theres a chance theyre 4-0 heading into a week five game against the Cowboys. The 2000 Baltimore Ravens featured one of the most stifling defenses ever assembled, allowing only 970 rushing yards all season and five rushing touchdowns. W. 23-20.

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